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Ireland's Future and the Impact of Increasing Energy Prices

• Will oil prices continue to rise or is this just a spike?
• Are we running out of oil?
• When will the supply of oil peak?
• What will happen then?
• How can we plan when the future is so uncertain?

Almost nothing about Ireland's future energy supplies is certain except the fact that the world's s\ upplies of oil, coal and gas began running out on the day that they were first used. There are still huge supplies of coal but oil an\ d gas are getting scarce and the amount of energy that humanity will be able to get from these two key fuels is expected to peak with\ in the next few years and then start to decline.

In view of the uncertainty about the date on which the decline will begin, the pace at which it will proceed and the effect that it \ will have on energy prices, Feasta has prepared four scenarios which, taken together, set the boundaries of the range of possibilitie\ s. In other words, the future should have some of the scenarios' characteristics provided that no major unexpected element enters the\ picture such as a widespread war, a plague which kills millions of people or a serious climate change event.

Overview

• Introduction to Energy Scenario\ s
• Peak Oil
• Scenario Planning\
• About the Projec\ t
• Printable version of Overview\

Analysis

• The ECCO Model
• Results f\ rom ECCO Model
• Printable version of Analysis

The Scenarios

• Business As Usual  •  Discussion
• Enlightened\ Transition  •  Discussion
• Localisation  •  Discussion
• Fair Shares  •  Discussion
• Printable version of The \ Scenarios

Background and Support

• Workshop Material\
• Glossary
• References
• FAQ
• Credits